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#forecasting

1 post1 participant0 posts today
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RaymondPierreL3

@ChrisMayLA6
#Forecasting (economics) is fraught with inaccuracies (as they must be in an irrational world) and yet, it is a vital task in setting #budgets, an ungrateful task. The problem lies not with the frail forecasts but with the decisions based on over optimistic outcomes and a desire to achieve, politically speaking, what few other govt have.

I relate it to #project management planning phases with spend lines and timings - very few (if any at all depending on the sector concerned) live up to their painstakingly put together Gantt charts.

And therein lies the lessons that govts seem clueless about.

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Timothy Schwinghamer (he/him)

Fired #climate scientist Tom Di Liberto says lives are at risk from #extremeweather as more cuts loom over the U.S. government agency responsible for #forecasting and much more. Di Liberto lost his job as part of a massive purge by the Trump administration, and worries the layoffs will not only cost the U.S. more money, but will cripple weather forecasting across the continent, leaving many people vulnerable to #NaturalHazards

What On Earth with Laura Lynch - cbc.ca/listen/live-radio/1-429

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Royed Training

Unlock expertise in #marketaccess #strategicmanagement #marketapprovals, and hashtag#compliance across global markets. The #ExecutiveProgram is designed for middle and top management professionals. Take demo today. #royedtraining

🚀 The Ultimate Pharma Business & Market Strategy Program! 🌍

zurl.co/uOUQl

#PharmaLeadership MarketAccess #HEOR #RegulatoryAffairs #PharmaStrategy #BusinessDevelopment #Forecasting #PharmaMarketing #RoyedTraining

Replied to Zhi Zhu 🕸️
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Zhi Zhu 🕸️

DOGE moves to cancel #NOAA leases on key weather buildings
axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

"One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national #weather forecasts.

It was designed to integrate multiple #forecasting centers in one building to improve operating #efficiency. It houses telecommunications equipment to send weather #data & forecasts across the #US & abroad...

Elon Musk's #DOGE has been working through the #GSA to cancel #government leases"

Headline, photo with caption, and text from article. Headline: DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildings by Andrew Freedman Photo: A sign which reads, "NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction" in front of a weather forecasting building with the building and trees behind it. Caption: NOAA's Center for Weather and Climate Prediction headquarters in College Park, Md. Photo: Michael A. McCoy/Bloomberg via Getty Images Text: The Trump administration has informed NOAA that two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios. Why it matters: One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national weather forecasts.
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#Musk#Coup#Trump
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AI6YR Ben

Axios: DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildings

"...two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios.

Why it matters: One of the buildings is the nerve center for generating national weather forecasts. ..."

axios.com/2025/03/03/doge-noaa

Axios · DOGE moves to cancel NOAA leases on key weather buildingsBy Andrew Freedman
#wx#disaster#weather
Public
O=C=O

Some warnings about weather data when using -->
earth.nullschool.net

Text is:

#Weather and #climate data shown on this website and countless others are at risk.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (#NOAA) is the U.S. agency responsible for global weather #forecasting, #hurricane #prediction, #ocean #observation, and many other services vital to public safety. Its #satellites, #supercomputers, and research teams provide essential #data that help us understand our #planet and #protect #lives.

On February 27, the new U.S. administration initiated mass firings at NOAA. These actions are #unethical and deeply #disruptive to the talented #scientists and #engineers who dedicate themselves to the public good. The firings, along with expected budget cuts, have serious implications for the availability and #quality of #WeatherForecasts produced by the #UnitedStates. They must be reversed immediately.

Much of the data on this website is downloaded directly from NOAA's servers. In this environment of uncertainty, access could be #disrupted at any time. While I'll strive to keep all features on this website functional and switch to alternative data sources if necessary, some datasets have no substitute if they go offline.

If this concerns you, speak up. Share on #SocialMedia. And if you're in the U.S., contact your representatives.

Screenshot earth website notice Text is: #Weather and #climate data shown on this website and countless others are at risk. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (#NOAA) is the U.S. agency responsible for global weather #forecasting, #hurricane #prediction, #ocean #observation, and many other services vital to public safety. Its #satellites, #supercomputers, and research teams provide essential #data that help us understand our #planet and #protect #lives. On February 27, the new U.S. administration initiated mass firings at NOAA. These actions are #unethical and deeply #disruptive to the talented #scientists and #engineers who dedicate themselves to the public good. The firings, along with expected budget cuts, have serious implications for the availability and #quality of #WeatherForecasts produced by the #UnitedStates. They must be reversed immediately. Much of the data on this website is downloaded directly from NOAA's servers. In this environment of uncertainty, access could be #disrupted at any time. While I'll strive to keep all features on this website functional and switch to alternative data sources if necessary, some datasets have no substitute if they go offline. If this concerns you, speak up. Share on #SocialMedia. And if you're in the U.S., contact your representatives.
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FediFollows

When people first started joining the Fediverse in large numbers, a lot of them asked "Where are the weather accounts?"

If you're one of those people, please check out the FediMeteo project at:

➡️ fedimeteo.com

It has weather forecast accounts for cities and towns across almost all of Europe and North America, plus Australia, New Zealand and Japan.

To follow an account, click on a town or city, then copy-paste its address into the search box in Mastodon etc.

fedimeteo.comFediMeteo - Weather Forecasts on the FediverseReal-time weather updates for the Fediverse covering 30+ countries
#Weather#Forecasting
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Dan Stowell

I'm pleased to share this, a preprint of our first work on predicting electrical grids using graph neural networks: "Enhanced Load Forecasting with GAT-LSTM: Leveraging Grid and Temporal Features" led by Ugochukwu Orji arxiv.org/abs/2502.08376 #ai4good #forecasting #GNN #electricalgrid

arXiv.orgEnhanced Load Forecasting with GAT-LSTM: Leveraging Grid and Temporal FeaturesAccurate power load forecasting is essential for the efficient operation and planning of electrical grids, particularly given the increased variability and complexity introduced by renewable energy sources. This paper introduces GAT-LSTM, a hybrid model that combines Graph Attention Networks (GAT) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. A key innovation of the model is the incorporation of edge attributes, such as line capacities and efficiencies, into the attention mechanism, enabling it to dynamically capture spatial relationships grounded in grid-specific physical and operational constraints. Additionally, by employing an early fusion of spatial graph embeddings and temporal sequence features, the model effectively learns and predicts complex interactions between spatial dependencies and temporal patterns, providing a realistic representation of the dynamics of power grids. Experimental evaluations on the Brazilian Electricity System dataset demonstrate that the GAT-LSTM model significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models, achieving reductions of 21. 8% in MAE, 15. 9% in RMSE and 20. 2% in MAPE. These results underscore the robustness and adaptability of the GAT-LSTM model, establishing it as a powerful tool for applications in grid management and energy planning.
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💧🌏 Greg Cocks

NOAA/USGS Water Map – National Water Model
--
water.noaa.gov/map <-- shared web map
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water.noaa.gov/about/nwm <-- shared NWM ‘About’ page
--
[ the post’s author did the spatial analysis to get the first round of elevation values of the majority of the 10s of millions offshore points, etc - alturl.com/3nrbm ]
#GIS #spatial #mapping #model #modeling #NationalWaterModel #NOAA #NWM #FIM #water #hydrology #framework #streamflow #realtime #observed #watercycle #rainfall #precipitation #snowmelt #overlandflow #flood #flooding #floodinnundationmodel #FIM #infiltration #bigdata #supercomputer #risk #hazard #mitigation #warning #warningsystems #threat #guidance #NationalWeatherService #forecast #forecasting #meteorology #river
@NOAA @USGS @nws

schematic - NWM v3.0 New Total Water Level Forecasting Capability
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screen shot - NWM https://water.noaa.gov/map - CONUS
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photo - flooding in a residential neighbourhood
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map - NWM v3.0 Total Water Level Domain Coverage
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