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#climatemigration

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"In 2024, #Africa saw an alarming series of extreme climate events—prolonged droughts, devastating floods, and heatwaves—that affected millions of lives.

The number of displaced individuals jumped from 1.1 million in 2009 to 6.3 million in 2023. Floods were the leading cause of displacement, responsible for over 75 percent of forced movements, while droughts were accountable for 11 percent."

ippmedia.com/the-guardian/busi
#ClimateMigration

www.ippmedia.comClimate change fuels forced migrations, says survey | The Guardian

@climatebrad

It feels to me like "build more housing" can't be the answer. You almost might as well say "make more land". It's not a durable solution. And it doesn't address the many other aspects of society that need to be addressed. Jobs food commerce in general, schools, the nature and flow of community itself.

A favorite quote comes to mind.

"Better implies different."
--Amar Bose, at an MIT Enterprise Forum event

(He was trying to explain to sales people at stores that would sell Bose speakers why they had to make changes in how they set them up. "Couldn't they just do what they'd always done?" The people would ask. They were used to that and did not want to change. He was trying to explain succinctly why you can't just radically improve something and leave it the same at the same time. So he, explained, that slogan had emerged.)

Surely higher population density at some point means using existing resources differently. I'm not pushing an agenda here, but I am observing that higher density feels less compatible within every person for themselves and traditional-ownership / rent-taking-for-profit model. Surely that brings a 2-tiered citizenship and breeds discontent/danger as inequality simmers.

In computer science, we talk about building systems that scale, planning for higher traffic. This could really be done in a system that did not plan for scale without the architecting the system entirely, and I've even seen some of pine that every factor of 10 in scale requires a redesign.

Sometimes the architectural plan is indeed to just add servers, but that has to be planned in, and there has to be a source of servers, and the system architecture has to be structured such that in the new model, all the necessary flows will happen correctly and resources won't be cut off from each other or too hard to access or too expensive.

"Build more housing." does not sound like the kind of answer I could give in a job interview and expect to be hired, with the hiring manager saying "this person has clearly demonstrated their understanding of operating at scale". The answer is not of a shape that seems right to me, nor does it offer sufficient detail.

A lot of capitalism seems to operate on a theory that you just twist some knobs and everything will just happen right without coordination. I think this is less and less true as either populations grow larger or resources grow smaller or resources become more stressed.

I did not write the accompanying article specifically to address this issue, and yet I feel like it says some important additional things I might say here if I were to ramble on. It is not a complete discussion of scale, but more discussion of why I don't think the traditional ways of thinking about just turning a few knobs is likely to keep working.

Losing Ground in the Environment
netsettlement.blogspot.com/201

It also just not addressed the issue of urgency, and the way in which urgency materially changes the set of usable solutions. I did try to address that issue here:

The Politics of Delay
netsettlement.blogspot.com/202

netsettlement.blogspot.comLosing Ground in the EnvironmentEssay on how we can't still see the world as an infinite resource. Things are interconnected and finite, so we need a fresh mindset when planning.

"Al Jazeera examines the 359 million weather-related displacements recorded worldwide since 2008.

Out of the 359 million weather-related global #displacements recorded since 2008, nearly 80 percent were from the Asia and Asia Pacific regions, accounting for about 106 and 171 million respectively."

aljazeera.com/news/2024/11/22/
#ClimateMigration

Al Jazeera · Mapping the impact of climate change on global displacementBy Usaid Siddiqui

Houston Public Media: Nearly half of Houstonians considered leaving, new poll finds, mainly due to weather

The survey, conducted in Fall 2024, found that 48% of people considered moving out of the Houston area. Of that, 70% said weather is a reason. Pollsters believe Hurricane Beryl and its aftereffects is a big reason why.

houstonpublicmedia.org/article #climatemigration #climate #TXwx #immigration #ClimateEmergency #hurricanes #HurricaneBeryl

Houston Public Media · Nearly half of Houstonians considered leaving, new poll finds, mainly due to weatherBy Kyle McClenagan

423 #ClimateMigration

If one doesn't want to prevent things, there will be no escape. No one talks about a national food shortage and increased prices.
Typical American: claiming the front seat for a tenth of the price. It's more about the survival of the species than about the survival of the individual.
The only solution will be in preveting or averting the #ClimateEmergency. Most US citizens don't want to pay in advance to avert catastrophy. For something they can't own; for something they can't see the results.
I'm Dutch, from the country with the dikes. 'You think we got where we are now by waiting for results? With that attitude we wouldn't be here at all'.

"What is the RISKIEST Region in the US as the Climate Changes?" [13:29 min]
by PBS Terra

youtube.com/watch?v=l_Oe6YK0Dg

Quote by PBST:
"Jan 25, 2023
Climate Change is increasing the frequency and severity of natural disasters all around the world. And in the United States, more and more people seem to be moving to the places that are projected to be most impacted by climate change, from hazards such as flooding, wildfire, storms, drought and extreme heat; and leaving the most climate-resilient areas. At first glance, this seems like a bizarre and paradoxical trend. So, for this episode of Weathered, we decided to see if we could get to the bottom of it.
We spoke to experts and sifted through lots of data about moving trends and shifting climate patterns to figure out what’s really going on here and what you can do to avoid moving into harm’s way."

"It is a perverse irony that many of Europe’s far-right parties and Trump Republicans in the US – strongly opposed both to immigration and also to climate action – know they stand to benefit electorally from influxes of people fleeing the climate crisis (a crisis to which they themselves are contributing by their persistent contemptuous opposition to net zero initiatives)."

independent.co.uk/voices/europ
#ClimateMigration

The Independent · It’s more important than ever to talk about how climate affects immigrationBy Andrew Gilmour

"#ClimateMigration can be a win-win

Far from seeing migration as a threat, the researchers argue that it can actually be a win-win for both people and the climate.

However, this requires global leaders to constructively communicate the economic benefits of migration and effective integration. "

earth.com/news/climate-migrati

Earth.comClimate migration is an urgent reality that cannot be ignoredGlobal cooperation can address climate-induced migration and reshape migration policies in response to the climate crisis.