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DoomsdaysCW<p><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Degrowth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Degrowth</span></a> can work — here’s how science can help</p><p>Wealthy countries can create prosperity while using less materials and energy if they abandon <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/EconomicGrowth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>EconomicGrowth</span></a> as an objective. </p><p>By Jason Hickel, Giorgos Kallis, Tim Jackson, Daniel W. O’Neill, Juliet B. Schor, Julia K. Steinberger, Peter A. Victor &amp; Diana Ürge-Vorsatz, 12 December 2022</p><p>Excerpt: "The global economy is structured around growth — the idea that firms, industries and nations must increase production every year, regardless of whether it is needed. This dynamic is driving climate change and ecological breakdown. High-income economies, and the corporations and wealthy classes that dominate them, are mainly responsible for this problem and consume energy and materials at unsustainable rates.</p><p>"Yet many industrialized countries are now struggling to grow their economies, given economic convulsions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, resource scarcities and stagnating productivity improvements. Governments face a difficult situation. Their attempts to stimulate growth clash with objectives to improve human well-being and reduce environmental damage.</p><p>"GDP is getting a makeover — what it means for economies, health and the planet</p><p>"Researchers in ecological economics call for a different approach — degrowth. Wealthy economies should abandon growth of gross domestic product (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/GDP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>GDP</span></a>) as a goal, scale down destructive and unnecessary forms of <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/production" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>production</span></a> to reduce energy and material use, and focus economic activity around securing human needs and well-being. This approach, which has gained traction in recent years, can enable rapid <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/decarbonization" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>decarbonization</span></a> and stop ecological breakdown while improving social outcomes. It frees up energy and materials for low- and middle-income countries in which growth might still be needed for development. Degrowth is a purposeful strategy to stabilize economies and achieve social and ecological goals, unlike recession, which is chaotic and socially destabilizing and occurs when growth-dependent economies fail to grow.</p><p>"Reports this year by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/IPCC" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>IPCC</span></a>) and the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Biodiversity</span></a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Ecosystem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Ecosystem</span></a> Services (<a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/IPBES" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>IPBES</span></a>) suggest that degrowth policies should be considered in the fight against <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ClimateBreakdown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ClimateBreakdown</span></a> and <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/biodiversity" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>biodiversity</span></a> loss, respectively. Policies to support such a strategy include the following.</p><p>"Reduce less-necessary production. This means scaling down destructive sectors such as <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/FossilFuels" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FossilFuels</span></a>, mass-produced meat and dairy, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/FastFashion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FastFashion</span></a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/advertising" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>advertising</span></a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/cars" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>cars</span></a> and aviation, including <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/PrivateJets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PrivateJets</span></a>. At the same time, there is a need to end the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/PlannedObsolescence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PlannedObsolescence</span></a> of products, lengthen their lifespans and reduce the purchasing power of the <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/rich" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>rich</span></a>.</p><p>"Improve <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/PublicServices" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>PublicServices</span></a>. It is necessary to ensure universal access to high-quality <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/HealthCare" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HealthCare</span></a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Education" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Education</span></a>, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/Housing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Housing</span></a>, transportation, Internet, <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/RenewableEnergy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>RenewableEnergy</span></a> and nutritious food. <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/UniversalPublicServices" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UniversalPublicServices</span></a> can deliver strong social outcomes without high levels of resource use.</p><p>"Introduce a green jobs guarantee. This would train and mobilize labour around urgent social and ecological objectives, such as installing renewables, insulating buildings, regenerating <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ecosystems" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ecosystems</span></a> and improving social care. A programme of this type would end unemployment and ensure a just transition out of jobs for workers in declining industries or 'sunset sectors', such as those contingent on fossil fuels. It could be paired with a <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/UniversalIncome" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UniversalIncome</span></a> policy.</p><p>"Reduce working time. This could be achieved by lowering the retirement age, encouraging part-time working or adopting a four-day working week [and hybrid or remote work]. These measures would lower <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CarbonEmissions" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CarbonEmissions</span></a> and free people to engage in care and other welfare-improving activities. They would also stabilize employment as less-necessary production declines.</p><p>"Enable <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/sustainable" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>sustainable</span></a> development. This requires cancelling unfair and unpayable debts of low- and middle-income countries, curbing unequal exchange in international trade and creating conditions for productive capacity to be reoriented towards achieving social objectives.</p><p>"Some countries, regions and cities have already introduced elements of these policies. Many European nations guarantee free health care and education; Vienna and Singapore are renowned for high-quality public housing; and nearly 100 cities worldwide offer free public transport. Job guarantee schemes have been used by many nations in the past, and experiments with basic incomes and shorter working hours are under way in Finland, Sweden and New Zealand.</p><p>"But implementing a more comprehensive strategy of degrowth — in a safe and just way — faces five key research challenges, as we outline here."</p><p>Read more:<br><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-04412-x" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://www.</span><span class="ellipsis">nature.com/articles/d41586-022</span><span class="invisible">-04412-x</span></a></p><p>Archived version:<br><a href="https://archive.ph/AtJ87" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank"><span class="invisible">https://</span><span class="">archive.ph/AtJ87</span><span class="invisible"></span></a><br><a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/FourDayWorkweek" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>FourDayWorkweek</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/RemoteWork" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>RemoteWork</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/HybridWork" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HybridWork</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CircularEconomy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CircularEconomy</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CapitalismKills" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CapitalismKills</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/RightToRepair" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>RightToRepair</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/ProtectMotherEarth" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>ProtectMotherEarth</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/CorporateColonialism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>CorporateColonialism</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/BuyLess" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>BuyLess</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/BuyNothing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>BuyNothing</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/LibraryOfThings" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>LibraryOfThings</span></a> <a href="https://kolektiva.social/tags/SolarPunkSunday" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>SolarPunkSunday</span></a></p>
Ambassador of the Heat Sink<p>At the same time, the existence of the generative AI models dramatically increases the number of creators existing in the world, as we must now count the flesh-made, human creators, as well as the, newly spawned, AI creators.</p><p>This creates an issue for the financial livelihood of the human creators, who are now competing with many more actors on the creative market.</p><p>The issue is compound by the fact that, in what constitutes a kind of mixed human-silicon teamwork, human creators also benefit from the AI tools. Teams made only of humans already existed in the pre-AI world, but now the AI creators participate in the mix, thus increasing both the number of these teams and their creative capability.</p><p>We really need to come up with a solution that maintains the existence of human creators.</p><p>I think that the universal income is among the acceptable solutions, but there must be a way to factor in the creativity or popularity of the creators to increase their pay.</p><p><a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/UniversalIncome" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>UniversalIncome</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/Artists" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>Artists</span></a> <a href="https://climatejustice.social/tags/AIandArt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AIandArt</span></a></p>
Wulfy<p><span class="h-card" translate="no"><a href="https://mastodon.world/@paninid" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@<span>paninid</span></a></span> </p><p>Hahaha but no.</p><p>The AI job loss is already happening.<br>It's just that there is a hierarchy to the replacement.</p><p>At the bottom, you have all the "unimportant" jobs. Artists, Animators Writers. Don't need a certification to practice.<br>Those jobs are already going.</p><p>Then you have the lower-risk jobs, middle management, assessors, accountants, office workers. Those require some degree of certification/experience. Those jobs are already going (and have been for the last 20 years) under the umbrella of "efficiency".</p><p>Then you have the highest tier<br> High risk, high consequence. Doctors, Lawyers, Drivers etc. Those jobs will go last.<br><a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/AV" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AV</span></a> are already causing less accidents than <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/HDV" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>HDV</span></a>...as long as you don't drive at dusk and avoid corners (😁)</p><p>And an <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>AI</span></a> radiologist is definitely better than a human one...but it's going to be a few years because of certification.</p><p>So yes, funny as this is, and cathartic as the humour is, we will see job losses of 80% percent very soon.<br>Let's just hope we don't get a Government in the US that will declare a large chunk of the population "surplus to requirements".</p><p><a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/jobloss" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>jobloss</span></a> <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/massunemployment" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>massunemployment</span></a> <a href="https://infosec.exchange/tags/universalincome" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#<span>universalincome</span></a></p>