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Sarfraaz Ahmed📉Latest MyVoD:-> Don't use GenAI? 💡 Visually understanding Bayes' Theorem ✨ Python's Performace Anti-Patterns ✨ Python's Dictionary Dispatch PatternLatest My Voyage of Discovery: <a href="http://eepurl.com/jcLqOg" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">http://eepurl.com/jcLqOg</a>Subscribe for more at: <a href="http://eepurl.com/iu6PFU" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">http://eepurl.com/iu6PFU</a><a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/MyVoD" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#MyVoD</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/GenAI" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#GenAI</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/python" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#python</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Dictionary" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Dictionary</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/3Blue1Brown" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#3Blue1Brown</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Pattern" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Pattern</a>

Ritesh BhagwatMy Ram Navami Greetings with a Bayesian Twist !<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ramnavami" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ramnavami</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/datascience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#datascience</a>

pglpm<a href="https://lgbtqia.space/@AeonCypher" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@AeonCypher</a> <a href="https://mastodon.world/@paninid" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">@paninid</a> "A p-value is an <a href="https://c.im/tags/estimate" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#estimate</a> of p(Data | Null Hypothesis). " – not correct. A p-value is an estimate ofp(Data or other imagined data | Null Hypothesis)so not even just of the actual data you have. Which is why p-values depend on your stopping rule (and do not satisfy the "likelihood principle"). In this regard, see Jeffreys's quote below.Imagine you design an experiment this way: "I'll test 10 subjects, and in the meantime I apply for a grant. At the time the 10th subject is tested, I'll know my application's outcome. If the outcome is positive, I'll test 10 more subjects; if it isn't, I'll stop". Not an unrealistic situation.With this stopping rule, your p-value will depend on the probability that you get the grant. This is not a joke."*What the use of P implies, therefore, is that a hypothesis that may be true may be rejected because it has not predicted observable results that have not occurred.* This seems a remarkable procedure. On the face of it the fact that such results have not occurred might more reasonably be taken as evidence for the law, not against it." – H. Jeffreys, "Theory of Probability" § VII.7.2 (emphasis in the original) <<a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198503682.001.0001" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780198503682.001.0001</a>>.<a href="https://c.im/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statistics</a>

Daniel Lakeland<a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/introduction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#introduction</a> when the database crashed I lost some followers, but because I hadn't backed up my account yet, I am not sure who they all are. As an extended introduction I'll tag some common topics I like to discuss, maybe people will see those. <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#statistics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/appliedmathematics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#appliedmathematics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/ipv6" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ipv6</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/bufferbloat" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bufferbloat</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/quarto" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#quarto</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/openscience" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#openscience</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/agentbasedmodels" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#agentbasedmodels</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/julialang" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#julialang</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/biology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#biology</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/molecularbiology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#molecularbiology</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/ecology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#ecology</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/forensics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#forensics</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/engineering" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#engineering</a>

Ed MerkleNew case study exploring likelihood computations (+ approximations) for Bayesian structural equation models with ordinal data, with application to WAIC and friends.<a href="https://ecmerkle.github.io/cs/ord_ic.html" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">https://ecmerkle.github.io/cs/ord_ic.html</a><a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#rstats</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/mcmc" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#mcmc</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/stan" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#stan</a> <a href="https://mastodon.sdf.org/tags/sem" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#sem</a>

Emtiyaz KhanWho am I, and why am I here? <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/introduction" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#introduction</a>I am a machine learning researcher, using tools from <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Bayes</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#stats</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/optimization" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#optimization</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/informationgeometry" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#informationgeometry</a>, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/deeplearning" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#deeplearning</a>, signal processing, etc.I care deeply about people, their well-being, inclusion, diversity, equity, privacy, and justice.I believe in slow and rigorous scientific process, to add value to existing knowledge, and improve positive impact on society.I am here to learn about all of these.More about at <a href="https://emtiyaz.github.io/" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://emtiyaz.github.io/</a>

Daniel HeckHi! I am an associate professor of Psychological Methods at Philipps-Universität Marburg. My <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/research" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#research</a> focuses on cognitive and multinomial modeling, Bayesian statistics, <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/Bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#Bayes</a> factors, hierarchical models, meta-analysis, and <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/psychometrics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener" target="_blank">#psychometrics</a>.My personal website is: <a href="https://www.dwheck.de" rel="nofollow noopener" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.dwheck.de</a>

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